Prof. Adrian Pfiffner from the University of Bern explored the processes of bedrock in general and of the area around Flims in particular. About 8400 years ago the Flims rockslide, which is considered to be the biggest rockslide to have happened in the Alps, occurred. The trigger of the event is not entirely clear: The rockslide may have been caused by heavy rainfalls or by an earthquake. 9 km3 of rock barricaded the valley and dammed up the Vorderrhein at Ilanz/Glion. Eventually the water cut a curb into the dam and gushed into the Churer Rheintal. The event had an impact as far as Lake Constance.
Map and profile «Flims rockslide»
Dr. Roland Hohmann from the OcCC (Advisory Body on Climate Change) related the occurrence of slope instabilities to changes of the water cycle, of glaciers and permafrost with temperature as a key indicator. If the temperature is above the zero point, in the mountains there is rain instead of snow. If there is continued warming the glaciers melt and the valley slopes loose their stabilizing support. At the same time permafrost thaws and the coherence of rock and soil diminishes. How does climate change affect the occurrence of rockfalls and landslides? Roland Hohmann summarised the changes expected until 2050.
«The climate in Switzerland in 2050» (in German)
Figure «Slope instabilities» (in German)

In his first presentation A. Zehnder posed the question whether water would become a key driver for globalization. His conclusions can be summarized as follows:
In his second talk Prof. A. Zehnder explored the questions whether Switzerland was fit for the future and whether the switches were set correctly for a prosperous tomorrow.
Prof. Zehnder pointed out that during the last decade the inflation corrected financial contribution to the Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology (ETH) has decreased by more than 10% while the number of students has increased by nearly 20%. To him it is therefore not surprising that the ETHs can no more attract the best scientists and faculty members. Prof. Zehnder predicts that the consequences may show in the years to come. He warned that the current funding policy would be detrimental to the quality of education, the innovative power and finally the reputation of the ETHs.
Fortunat Joos from the University of Berne stressed that it is now undisputed among scientists that human activities lead to exceptionally rapid, long lasting climatic change. Greenhouse gas emissions must be reduced to a fraction of today's emissions to slow this change. Model simulations indicate that the anticipated price increase for fossil fuel over the next years is not sufficient. If we do not act fast, we will be challenged to enforce much faster and costful reductions per decade in the future.
Bruno Oberle, the new director of the BAFU (Federal Office for the Environment) outlined his vision for a Swiss climate policy beyond 2012. He pointed out that the impact of climate change on the alpine region is more severe than on average. On the other hand the energy intensity of the Swiss industry is lower in general. The industry is thus less affected by an increased oil prize. The long-term target is to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions to about 1 ton of CO2 per person. This should be achieved through a portfolio of economic instruments and a balanced responsibility of all sectors. Switzerland will work toward a worldwide implementation of the «polluter pays principle». It will be of utmost importance that the US and the developing countries with rapid economic growth adopt quickly an effective climate policy as well. Adaptation will become important besides mitigation.
...>Global change, such as population growth, land degradation and climate change, has a much greater impact on developing countries than on Switzerland and other developed countries. In poor countries even small changes may lead to existential difficulties.
Prof. Hans Hurni, director of the National Competence Center for Research «North-South» discussed the challenges regarding water supply. He showed that, within a watershed, water usage and pollution up-streams may cause serious conflicts with down-stream communities. While this is presently of no concern for Switzerland we may face similar water distribution and pollution challenges in the coming decades.
Hurni points out several needs for action:
Additional actions for Switzerland:
Health is another critical topic which particularly affects developing countries. Prof. Marcel Tanner, director of the Swiss Tropical Institute in Basel, shows, that development is tightly linked to health. Global change puts additional pressure on the health problem. Of special concern from a health point of view are climate change, population dynamics and -structure, migration, urbanization, fresh- and waste water, and changes in land use. As many of these issues are interconnected, the societal, health and ecological aspects should be tackled together. Both speakers stressed the importance of research partnerships as a stable means to transfer knowledge and technology.
...>The second presentation by Martin Kamber of the cantonal reinsurance group discussed the possibilities and limits of insurances issued by private companies. Insurances are well suited to upredictable events, which may harm a large population. If, on the other hand, the occurrence of an extreme event is predictable or if the risk is very unevenly distributed among the insured elements, then insurance is not the right means to protect from losses.
...>Reto Ringger, director of the SAM Sustainability Group AG in Zurich, informed about the «Dow Jones Sustainability Group Index», which they developed for Dow Jones. It is computed based on ecological, economical and societal criteria. The Index shows that the stock market performance of the most sustainable companies in a given branch is significantly above average.
...>The key messages in brief: About half of the anthropogenic CO2 emissions remain in the atmosphere resulting in a CO2 increase of one percent every two years. Plants store about the same amount of CO2 as is stored in the Atmosphere, 90% of which is stored in the forest. Global forestation projects can delay CO2 increase by maximally 5 years. To store the Swiss emissions the whole forestable space in Switzerland would be forested in 13 years. The CO2 storage capacity of fast growing plants is smaller than that of old forest. Plant growth rate has nothing to do with Carbon stock in plants. The greenhouse gas problem can thus not be solved in this matter, but an efficient usage of wood is an important step forward. Wood and wood processing is environmentally sound, sustainable and generates labor in Switzerland.
Nearly twenty parlamentariens participated at the meeting and the informal discussion, which was chaired by G.-R. Plattner.
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